Rowdy-Administration
0x4352fcdf18036c3ce58f6cac802a49e7ddbdc794
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
152
Open notional
$215.43
Total PnL
$-370.54
Realised
$131.73
Win rate
100%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 152- YES
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
999 shares @ 0.8¢·now 3.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$30.48
$22.98
- YES
SBF released from custody in 2026?
230 shares @ 7.4¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.08
$-0.92
- YES
Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30?
230 shares @ 6.2¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.07
$1.77
- NO
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?
54 shares @ 27.8¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.12
$-2.88
- NO
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
262 shares @ 10.8¢·now 3.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.84
$-18.45
- YES
Ledger IPO before 2027?
79 shares @ 15.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.49
$-2.37
- YES
Databricks IPO before 2027?
66 shares @ 22.9¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.85
$-6.15
- YES
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
279 shares @ 7.2¢·now 3.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.77
$-11.22
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
19 shares @ 37.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.61
$1.61
- YES
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?
122 shares @ 5.7¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.31
$0.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?$1.04May 17, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m?$1.05May 17, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?$5.11May 17, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$13.26May 17, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "NVIDIA" this week?$3.03May 16, 00:26 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 15?$4.49May 15, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 on May 15?$3.10May 15, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $610 on May 15?$3.10May 15, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on May 15?$3.09May 15, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 15?$4.13May 15, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 15?$3.08May 15, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 15?$2.04May 15, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Wind" this week?$5.01May 15, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?$6.35May 15, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "North Korea" this week?$5.00May 15, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 14?$3.08May 14, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 14?$1.04May 14, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 14?$2.04May 14, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $275 on May 14?$3.11May 14, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $450 on May 14?$2.04May 14, 09:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 08:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 14:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".