Vigorous-Analgesia
0x435f496e64fa84176174875d292709eaf706522c
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$717.38
Total PnL
$42.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
364 shares @ 41.2¢·now 40.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$147.39
$-2.61
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
222 shares @ 45.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$142.22
$42.22
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: May
115 shares @ 86.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$103.34
$3.34
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
108 shares @ 82.8¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$94.14
$5.04
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
115 shares @ 21.7¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$35.71
$10.71
- NO
Kash Patel out by June 30?
50 shares @ 39.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.75
$12.25
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
13 shares @ 86.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.58
$0.58
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
12 shares @ 92.1¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.11
$0.11
- NO
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?
14 shares @ 73.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.03
$1.03
- NO
Discord IPO before 2027?
23 shares @ 42.8¢·now 45.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.55
$0.55
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$100.00May 14, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$10.30May 14, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$25.78May 14, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$102.20May 14, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$23.81May 10, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$5.12May 10, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.17May 7, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hezbollah disarm by December 31?$1.14May 7, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?$10.87May 7, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?$15.98May 7, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?$86.23May 5, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?$67.74May 4, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?$90.00May 4, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?$10.03May 3, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?$10.11May 3, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?$10.20May 3, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$100.00May 3, 21:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $25.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 21:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".