Ignorant-Racing
0x436db6c0d7be0c21fc3b90a2503ad37bde1f6c1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$7.0K
Total PnL
$-344.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
2309 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$-10.74
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
2402 shares @ 83.3¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.9K
$-114.28
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
1124 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.1K
$61.80
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
1781 shares @ 56.1¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$6.16
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
549 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$519.23
$19.23
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
421 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$403.16
$3.16
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
423 shares @ 70.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.38
$-296.62
- YES
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
20 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-12.97
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.20May 18, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 17, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$2.2KMay 17, 05:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$13.15May 14, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$303.49May 14, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 31?$232.56May 14, 04:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$400.00May 12, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$1000.00May 12, 10:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$1.0KMay 9, 18:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 7, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $776.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 02:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".