Calm-Warmth
0x4383f2edd5b80a5c29a7fc18a768aed5ea984f2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$128.08
Total PnL
$-368.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
1005 shares @ 6.6¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$75.36
$9.36
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
364 shares @ 16.5¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.48
$-36.52
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1250 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.38
$-0.63
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
87 shares @ 11.5¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
3413 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
1966 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-155.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
372 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-81.00
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
162 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
159 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.59May 17, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.27May 17, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$18.29May 17, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$70.22May 17, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$15.38May 16, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$10.47May 16, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$15.13May 16, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$50.00Mar 4, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$90.56Mar 4, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-13?$2.00Jan 13, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$1.00Jan 13, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$41.00Jan 12, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$100.00Jan 12, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYZohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?$26.00Jan 12, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$15.00Jan 12, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?$5.00Jan 12, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$10.00Jan 12, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$30.00Jan 12, 03:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $28.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 19:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".