Pessimistic-Crawdad
0x43882c0fcdabe02b62e05f5485b6b68622ec9ce4
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$36.91
Total PnL
$-131.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
117 shares @ 28.5¢·now 31.6¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$36.90
$3.67
- YES
James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5
15 shares @ 37.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.01
$-5.59
- TIMBERWOLVES
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
119 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- CAVALIERS
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)
113 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
106 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UNDER
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
103 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.15
- TIMBERWOLVES
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
103 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-14.37
- YES
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5
49 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-26.94
- YES
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5
41 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.70
- YES
Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5
25 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMDonovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5$70.93May 18, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$4.00May 18, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$3.99May 18, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$20.82May 18, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4.27May 18, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$5.87May 18, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons$99.49May 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5$1.56May 18, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5$1.56May 18, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYAusar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5$3.59May 18, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Harden: Assists O/U 6.5$1.94May 18, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Harden: Assists O/U 6.5$1.88May 18, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Harden: Assists O/U 6.5$1.88May 18, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$84.40May 18, 01:28 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5$77.66May 18, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5$53.52May 17, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYDonovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5$40.25May 17, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-15.5)$14.74May 16, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$6.85May 16, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$5.32May 16, 03:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $19.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 02:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".