Fearful-Woodwind
0x439252e3d8e1a7bd1495f77dcf53af5d08ef68c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$8.3K
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$42.98
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
6955 shares @ 82.9¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$5.9K
$112.87
- NO
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 50% and 60%?
810 shares @ 85.0¢·now 91.3¢·exp May 5, 2026$739.89
$51.18
- NO
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?
783 shares @ 77.6¢·now 76.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$598.39
$-9.36
- NO
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026?
413 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$379.18
$19.92
- NO
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
393 shares @ 71.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$269.29
$-9.83
- NO
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?
200 shares @ 80.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$147.00
$-13.00
- NO
Will BP be acquired before 2027?
138 shares @ 79.1¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$111.24
$1.92
- NO
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by June 5?
66 shares @ 88.5¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$64.41
$5.68
- NO
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
58 shares @ 78.2¢·now 68.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.88
$-5.73
- NO
Will Nithya Raman & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
25 shares @ 91.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$18.34
$-4.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$159.99May 17, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 50% and 60%?$51.18May 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Snapchat be acquired before 2027?$79.37May 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$513.06May 17, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.3KMay 17, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?$200.32May 17, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.1KMay 17, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEM MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano$377.00May 17, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$22.94May 16, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUY MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano$318.57May 16, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 50% and 60%?$295.56May 16, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWild vs. Avalanche$184.44May 14, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWild vs. Avalanche$1.7KMay 14, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$936.25May 13, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$286.86May 13, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$67.15May 13, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$688.42May 13, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$269.55May 11, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$559.37May 11, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 Truist Championship?$317.99May 10, 19:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $521.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 00:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 21:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".