0x43ae17648bdd89964b6c3f792a7f190c7ecee096
0x43ae17648bdd89964b6c3f792a7f190c7ecee096
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$106.63
Total PnL
$6.56
Realised
$-2.41
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
62 shares @ 62.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.84
$12.40
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
24 shares @ 50.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.56
$1.56
- NO
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
13 shares @ 89.5¢·now 93.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.17
$0.53
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
12 shares @ 79.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.90
$0.42
- NO
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
10 shares @ 95.3¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.71
$0.18
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.35
$-0.65
- NO
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
10 shares @ 34.4¢·now 31.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.11
$-0.33
- YES
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
11 shares @ 13.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.76
$0.33
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
7 shares @ 22.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.22
$-0.32
- NO
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.16
Recent activity
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?$5.95Apr 26, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?$1.71Apr 26, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$4.88Apr 26, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?$7.23Apr 26, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$9.48Apr 22, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$1.54Apr 22, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$4.87Apr 17, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?$1.90Apr 15, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?$7.42Apr 15, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$19.22Apr 11, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$19.22Apr 11, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?$1.43Apr 9, 04:07 UTC
- MERGEWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$22.00Apr 1, 12:33 UTC
- MERGEWill Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$10.00Apr 1, 12:22 UTC
- MERGEU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?$43.00Apr 1, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?$3.44Mar 28, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$5.00Mar 28, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$12.00Mar 28, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?$1.05Mar 28, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$20.59Mar 28, 00:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $7.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 00:06 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 14:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".