Wry-Elm
0x43cc0c44ac7872fae39cf72b0334ae6eee549211
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$15.5K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-1.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?
1700 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$-8.50
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
1409 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$78.19
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
1399 shares @ 95.6¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$31.72
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
1356 shares @ 92.5¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$64.15
- NO
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
1278 shares @ 87.3¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$100.64
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?
1063 shares @ 88.9¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$90.39
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
1015 shares @ 97.2¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$999.32
$12.85
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
690 shares @ 95.3¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$679.71
$22.52
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
700 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$619.50
$3.50
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
821 shares @ 43.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$525.46
$172.42
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.10May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?$196.00May 14, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?$89.04May 14, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$160.00May 14, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$285.01May 14, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$102.79May 14, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$113.93May 14, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$30.93May 14, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?$134.00May 14, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?$1.6KMay 14, 20:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?$255.74May 10, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $184.97May 10, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$296.90May 10, 21:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $276.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".