Pessimistic-Buzzard
0x43d419ebd6b04edc14e1d8a6200a72bd9e93d5db
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$162.85
Total PnL
$-342.58
Realised
$-0.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
394 shares @ 51.8¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$139.91
$-64.19
- YES
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.94
$2.94
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
2713 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-196.99
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?
483 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel annex any territory by December 31?$20.00May 5, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$1.39Apr 23, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$4.10Apr 23, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$11.94Apr 23, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$466.84Apr 23, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$2.00Feb 17, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$10.00Feb 17, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$2.00Feb 17, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$1.00Feb 17, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$25.50Feb 17, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$3.00Feb 11, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$10.00Feb 11, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$10.00Feb 11, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$100.00Feb 11, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$40.00Feb 11, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.79Feb 11, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$21.20Feb 11, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$10.00Feb 11, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$200.00Feb 11, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$296.00Feb 10, 17:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $41.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 7, 14:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 08:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".