Loathsome-Diffuse
0x43d57bd7ab0ef255e00bfcb52ab1f62d543f2e11
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$4.9K
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-458.00
Win rate
50%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
1908 shares @ 48.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.3K
$391.14
- NO
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
752 shares @ 78.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$552.72
$-33.84
- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
821 shares @ 63.6¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$545.97
$24.10
- SOMETHING
Nothing Ever Happens: March
1320 shares @ 39.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$501.60
$-13.20
- NO
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?
826 shares @ 58.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$491.47
$12.39
- YES
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
641 shares @ 75.0¢·now 67.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$433.64
$-47.11
- CEARÁ SC
Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)
606 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$303.00
$0.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
678 shares @ 44.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$233.84
$-64.48
- YES
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
274 shares @ 55.2¢·now 44.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$122.20
$-29.04
- YES
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?
108 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$108.00
$96.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$15.39Apr 27, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$23.84Apr 27, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$49.76Apr 27, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Tariff inflation" during April press conference?$13.80Apr 27, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?$72.00Apr 27, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?$110.88Apr 27, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?$24.48Apr 27, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?$272.16Apr 27, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?$91.79Apr 27, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$241.40Apr 27, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$265.88Apr 27, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$303.96Apr 27, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?$60.20Apr 23, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Tariff inflation" during April press conference?$686.96Apr 23, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$225.60Apr 23, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$214.40Apr 23, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$212.80Apr 23, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$110.72Apr 23, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$105.74Apr 23, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$50.66Apr 23, 08:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $200.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 11:29 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".