0x43dea88d3692adc0941b4f0cd8fb2c3eea6ee520
0x43dea88d3692adc0941b4f0cd8fb2c3eea6ee520
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$209.08
Total PnL
$2.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will May 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
78 shares @ 90.2¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$73.08
$3.08
- NO
Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
34 shares @ 87.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$34.10
$4.10
- NO
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.44
$4.44
- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.76
$0.76
- NO
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$9.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
10 shares @ 53.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$8.45
$3.15
- YES
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
11 shares @ 35.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$8.11
$4.11
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.96
$0.96
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$4.21
$2.21
- YES
Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$3.17
$0.67
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$2.50May 17, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$1.95May 17, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$2.04May 17, 01:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.27May 16, 22:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$1.03May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill May 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?$30.12May 14, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5$3.64May 13, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$1.05May 13, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$4.95May 13, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?$2.00May 13, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?$0.00May 13, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Cavaliers$0.00May 13, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$0.00May 13, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?$0.00May 13, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Unchosen" be the top global Netflix show this week?$0.00May 13, 02:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $3.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 22:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".