0x43e81f5332f52b1210b19a2e16c7ca5901b8af56
0x43e81f5332f52b1210b19a2e16c7ca5901b8af56
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
55
Open notional
$980.16
Total PnL
$3.41
Realised
$-0.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- NO
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
124 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$122.36
$3.51
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
69 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$67.60
$1.40
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
75 shares @ 90.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$67.43
$-0.90
- NO
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
69 shares @ 96.6¢·now 97.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$66.66
$0.36
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
140 shares @ 59.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$64.40
$-18.20
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
92 shares @ 54.6¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.64
$13.64
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
64 shares @ 78.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$61.22
$11.22
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
77 shares @ 25.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$40.23
$21.07
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
54 shares @ 74.5¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$31.41
$-8.59
- NO
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$25.60
$15.60
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill United Kingdom be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$10.11May 17, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$21.05May 17, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luxembourg be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$10.10May 17, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$20.20May 17, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cyprus be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$20.20May 17, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$20.20May 17, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Malta be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$10.11May 17, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$11.63May 17, 02:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$28.88May 16, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$16.53May 16, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$18.17May 16, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$5.00May 16, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$498.75May 16, 07:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$10.64May 14, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$20.39May 14, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?$20.20May 14, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $29.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 17:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".