Vague-Concrete
0x43e98f912cd6ddadaad88d3297e78c0648e688e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$4.5K
Realised
$4.4K
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
176593 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$618.08
$88.30
- YES
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?
76030 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$418.16
$38.09
- YES
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?
43750 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$284.38
$21.92
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
85227 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$213.07
$-42.61
- YES
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
56443 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$84.66
$-28.22
- YES
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?
8354 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$45.94
$4.19
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?
2847 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.27
$1.42
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?$1.80May 18, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?$4.92May 18, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?$3.04May 18, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.01May 18, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.02May 18, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.23May 18, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.01May 18, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?$0.72May 18, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.87May 18, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.44May 18, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?$8.98May 18, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?$0.01May 18, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.09May 18, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.01May 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.07May 18, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.00May 18, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?$0.02May 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.14May 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.11May 18, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.01May 18, 07:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 06:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".