Simple-Attack
0x43f7f0c3effde3c61b4257849bfc6e30912e35e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$8.8K
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$3.38
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
3231 shares @ 94.2¢·now 94.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.1K
$14.92
- NO
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 80 and 85?
1695 shares @ 96.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.7K
$55.99
- YES
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 85 and 90?
1413 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.4K
$19.05
- YES
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?
1627 shares @ 70.7¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$-108.96
- NO
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?
800 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$788.38
$52.42
- NO
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 89.5¢·now 86.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$343.80
$-14.20
- YES
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
200 shares @ 69.8¢·now 70.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$140.00
$0.35
- YES
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
466 shares @ 64.3¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$132.88
$-167.12
- YES
Will fewer than 200 tornadoes occur in the United States in May 2026?
200 shares @ 62.9¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$68.00
$-57.75
- YES
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
273 shares @ 17.4¢·now 23.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$62.76
$15.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 85 and 90?$986.00May 18, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$31.24May 18, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$212.46May 18, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$4.78May 18, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$416.20May 18, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$22.92May 18, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$1.44May 17, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$2.60May 17, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$173.20May 17, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$188.00May 17, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$100.00May 17, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$31.08May 16, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$52.05May 16, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$11.41May 16, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$101.11May 16, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$172.71May 16, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$10.92May 16, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$13.29May 16, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$89.79May 16, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$43.52May 16, 13:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $138.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 09:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".