Normal-Bribery
0x440ad4b85c75c85a8563992fa667234150d03453
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$85.32
Total PnL
$-7.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
38 shares @ 78.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$28.65
$-1.35
- YES
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
50 shares @ 60.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$26.25
$-3.75
- YES
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?
24 shares @ 92.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$23.83
$1.83
- YES
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?
36 shares @ 30.9¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.59
$-4.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$22.00May 12, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?$30.46May 12, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?$30.84May 12, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?$11.53May 12, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$32.52May 12, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?$20.34May 12, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$32.23May 12, 01:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Apr 23, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.6KApr 22, 04:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Apr 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Apr 21, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$32.50Apr 20, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.6KApr 20, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.6KApr 20, 07:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Apr 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Apr 19, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$32.20Apr 18, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.6KApr 18, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $200 in April?$1.6KApr 18, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $200 in April?$1.6KApr 16, 05:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $437.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 02:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 02:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".