Embarrassed-Oval
0x44202a597d93c768eb6f72dcb38050af816eea24
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$470.41
Total PnL
$282.45
Realised
$311.79
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
10149 shares @ 3.1¢·now 3.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$329.83
$9.74
- YES
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
2010 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$41.20
$-16.54
- YES
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
10700 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.45
$-3.15
- YES
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
747 shares @ 4.3¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.15
$-6.35
- YES
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
1254 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$13.16
$-1.83
- YES
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
1875 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$12.19
$-2.81
- YES
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
1227 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$10.43
$0.46
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$10.00May 17, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.42May 17, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.17May 17, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.68May 17, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.62May 17, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.68May 17, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.53May 17, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$4.50May 17, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.09May 17, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.62May 17, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.68May 17, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.49May 17, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.49May 17, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.90May 17, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.72May 17, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.68May 17, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.90May 17, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.45May 17, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.03May 17, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$3.85May 17, 04:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 21:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 14:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".