Careful-Sorrow
0x443e6edbcf468f3a0e651f96d961f2567ae98055
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$53.27
Total PnL
$-4.01
Realised
$0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 6.9¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.50
$2.70
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
158 shares @ 8.8¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.19
$-0.74
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
700 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.95
$-0.35
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.15
$-0.15
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.10
$0.30
- YES
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 24?
857 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.43
$-1.27
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.50May 17, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.30May 17, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 23?$2.84May 17, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 11:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$24.40May 16, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$8.59May 16, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$25.00May 16, 22:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$0.06May 15, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$0.50May 15, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$0.06May 15, 23:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 23?$0.61May 14, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 30?$3.56May 14, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 31?$1.46May 14, 16:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$1.10May 13, 22:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $4.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 11:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".