Waterlogged-Crew
0x4468c77733aa639b7367b71149579007674810af
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-643.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
13852 shares @ 7.2¢·now 4.6¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$637.20
$-362.78
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1802 shares @ 11.1¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$328.83
$128.83
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14345 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$322.77
$-77.21
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1794 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$298.66
$-0.90
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3504 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$289.08
$44.09
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
123 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$122.75
$73.65
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1091 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$108.55
$-11.45
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$106.36
$86.36
- YES
Will Michael Olise record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?
314 shares @ 29.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.12
$-84.88
- FRANCE
Men's Group A - Canada vs. France
1251 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.15May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Apr 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $259.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".