0x447180022f36532d016251ae5dbba809ba853f7b
0x447180022f36532d016251ae5dbba809ba853f7b
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
187
Open notional
$639.11
Total PnL
$-257.62
Realised
$-75.22
Win rate
38%
121 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 187- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
58 shares @ 72.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$58.43
$16.31
- NO
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
35 shares @ 45.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$35.20
$19.29
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
32 shares @ 61.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$32.17
$12.29
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
26 shares @ 62.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$25.69
$9.56
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
24 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$23.84
$4.77
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
23 shares @ 44.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$23.34
$12.97
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
20 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$19.87
$0.99
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
17 shares @ 80.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$17.06
$3.29
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$16.52
$6.61
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
14 shares @ 70.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$14.21
$4.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 18?$8.94May 17, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 18?$7.97May 17, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 18?$0.41May 17, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 18?$0.56May 17, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 18?$10.82May 17, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on May 18?$2.33May 17, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 18?$8.17May 17, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 18?$1.22May 17, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 18?$1.69May 17, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 18?$3.50May 17, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olimpija Ljubljana win on 2026-05-17?$7.58May 17, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 18?$3.52May 17, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olimpija Ljubljana win on 2026-05-17?$4.97May 17, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.00May 17, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.00May 17, 02:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $5.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 19:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 21:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 121 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".