0x4473571a64ace0a401e1f55093b8a5fd38916c6e
0x4473571a64ace0a401e1f55093b8a5fd38916c6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$17.02
Total PnL
$-56.29
Realised
$-20.71
Win rate
18%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$7.14
$2.14
- YES
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$7.09
$2.13
- YES
Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.66
$-0.34
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?
7 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.52
$0.00
- YES
Will Paul Dahl win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.42
$-0.57
- YES
Will Brian Cillessen win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
93 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.28
$-1.74
- YES
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?
6 shares @ 3.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.26
$0.08
- YES
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.21
$-4.79
- YES
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
41 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.14
$-0.84
- YES
Will Arya Azma win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?
4 shares @ 7.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.12
$-0.16
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Yolanda Flowers win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?$0.99Apr 24, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$1.30Apr 24, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?$1.63Apr 24, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?$1.95Apr 24, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?$2.49Apr 24, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?$2.28Apr 24, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?$2.86Apr 24, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jacob Chiara win the 2026 Ohio Governor Democratic primary election?$2.66Apr 24, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.35Apr 24, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?$4.58Apr 24, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.97Apr 24, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$1.56Apr 24, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.62Apr 24, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$3.07Apr 24, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$3.51Apr 24, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$5.00Apr 24, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$5.03Apr 24, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLCap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?$5.17Apr 24, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$5.38Apr 24, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?$5.38Apr 24, 22:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $3.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 06:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 22:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".