Warmhearted-Chalice
0x449c7483aade15b5c4772fab7becc60a1c20879e
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$6.5K
Total PnL
$-8.3K
Realised
$-607.13
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?
7250 shares @ 56.3¢·now 22.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$1.6K
$-2.5K
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
6799 shares @ 41.8¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$-1.5K
- NO
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
1100 shares @ 80.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$957.00
$77.00
- NO
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?
971 shares @ 74.7¢·now 97.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$944.72
$218.77
- NO
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
500 shares @ 81.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$412.49
$7.50
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
5497 shares @ 27.9¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$412.25
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
500 shares @ 51.3¢·now 64.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$321.74
$65.25
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
300 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$256.50
$1.50
- YES
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1927 shares @ 4.0¢·now 8.1¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$155.13
$77.12
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
600 shares @ 11.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$81.00
$15.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$59.36May 16, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$66.00May 16, 11:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 15?$2.9KMay 15, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$9.84May 15, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$5.44May 15, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$2.98May 15, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$1.59May 15, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$0.28May 15, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$0.03May 15, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$0.25May 15, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$0.03May 15, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$0.19May 15, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$0.01May 15, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$2.8KMay 15, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$297.19May 15, 09:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $410.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 18:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".