Detailed-Synthesis
0x44cf1adbef03497ae2f469bd9cd5da3de6e02211
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$6.6K
Total PnL
$-12.9K
Realised
$314.91
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
8566 shares @ 32.5¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$2.3K
$-471.00
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
20058 shares @ 16.7¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$-1.4K
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
17109 shares @ 8.8¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$-229.07
- YES
Kash Patel out by June 30?
778 shares @ 36.1¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$283.94
$2.71
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
328 shares @ 61.0¢·now 62.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$206.06
$6.06
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
3517 shares @ 23.6¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$175.84
$-654.14
- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
10690 shares @ 6.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$144.31
$-497.08
- YES
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
8964 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$89.64
$-85.18
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
769 shares @ 26.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$88.46
$-111.54
- YES
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
180 shares @ 58.1¢·now 47.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.86
$-18.80
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.14May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$12.84May 13, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$104.88May 13, 10:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$26.03May 12, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$39.64May 12, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$203.12May 12, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by June 30?$205.12May 12, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by May 31?$181.46May 12, 11:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by May 31?$186.08May 11, 02:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 9, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill one person dissent the April Fed decision?$182.31May 8, 21:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 8, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $235.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 15:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".