0x44d389960f1c0926d67b01000dc1445589f1f4ff
0x44d389960f1c0926d67b01000dc1445589f1f4ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$518.94
Total PnL
$-108.90
Realised
$2.10
Win rate
60%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
70 shares @ 89.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$61.60
$-1.06
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
70 shares @ 89.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$55.97
$-6.69
- YES
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
125 shares @ 15.9¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$38.26
$18.33
- NO
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
39 shares @ 28.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.73
$20.69
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
89 shares @ 40.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.56
$-8.04
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
26 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$24.58
$1.05
- YES
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
314 shares @ 13.6¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.66
$-23.85
- NO
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
19 shares @ 90.9¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.36
$0.48
- NO
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
17 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.97
$1.30
- YES
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
124 shares @ 16.6¢·now 13.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.22
$-4.41
Recent activity
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Spurs: Team to Score First$3.11May 18, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5$10.00May 18, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners$8.00May 18, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Los Angeles Sparks (-7.5)$0.00May 18, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons$10.00May 18, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynx$0.00May 18, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5$0.00May 18, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever$0.00May 18, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMSan Francisco Giants vs. Athletics$9.00May 18, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels$8.00May 18, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox$8.00May 18, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMKansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals$8.00May 18, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMLas Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 171.5$0.00May 18, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. New York Mets$0.00May 18, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?$14.00May 18, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5$0.00May 18, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?$10.00May 18, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 00:40 UTC
- REDEEMArizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies$8.00May 18, 00:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $4.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 17:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".