0x44dd60a89206c53bd03c234684a8cf2b518310df
0x44dd60a89206c53bd03c234684a8cf2b518310df
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$8.23
Total PnL
$-1.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$4.84
$-0.16
- NO
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
1 shares @ 93.5¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.76
$-0.24
- NO
Jacob Elordi and Olivia Jade confirmed relationship by June 30?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.55
$-0.45
- YES
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYArc FDV above $500M one day after launch?$5.01May 18, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$6.17May 18, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$8.47May 18, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$5.14May 18, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$5.07May 17, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.09May 17, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$6.29May 17, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$5.14May 17, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.00May 14, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?$1.03May 14, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?$1.03May 14, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?$0.00May 11, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?$0.00May 11, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$0.00May 11, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.00May 11, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMRussian strike on Poland by December 31?$0.00May 11, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 28, 1PM ET$0.00May 11, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Best Buy (BBY) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00May 11, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMUtah vs. Bruins$0.00May 11, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 27?$0.00May 11, 09:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $4.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 09:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".