Grizzled-Clavier
0x44f3f4ff2372f779135b8b83cb26ad82759c975c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$186.54
Total PnL
$16.08
Realised
$4.13
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
238 shares @ 21.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$48.76
$-1.24
- NO
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-19?
39 shares @ 77.7¢·now 78.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$30.69
$0.13
- NO
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
57 shares @ 43.9¢·now 46.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.38
$1.34
- YES
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
141 shares @ 14.2¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.04
$6.04
- NO
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
42 shares @ 49.7¢·now 52.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$21.72
$0.95
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 11.6¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.50
$5.94
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
10 shares @ 88.9¢·now 97.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$9.78
$0.88
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
5 shares @ 28.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$1.72
$0.32
- YES
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
63 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.54
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$5.76May 18, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-19?$3.95May 18, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-19?$11.55May 18, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$9.94May 18, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$8.10May 18, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$13.00May 18, 00:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$2.29May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$21.45May 17, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$2.60May 17, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$3.90May 17, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$8.31May 17, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-19?$11.85May 17, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$4.41May 17, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$4.42May 17, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$4.38May 17, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$51.58May 17, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$1.05May 17, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$6.50May 17, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$1.00May 17, 00:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 17:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".