Guilty-Accelerant
0x44f5488197b874f068bab045115adbe659af63ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
116
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$17.98
Realised
$7.33
Win rate
80%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
13964 shares @ 8.4¢·now 10.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.5K
$297.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
100 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-78.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
34 shares @ 86.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-29.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
30 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.21
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
27 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
22 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.81
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
20 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
18 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
15 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
15 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$2.30May 18, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$1.80May 18, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$1.80May 18, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$1.80May 18, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$3.01May 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$0.60May 18, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$1.20May 18, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$0.26May 18, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$1.54May 18, 04:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$2.40May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$1.27May 18, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$0.53May 18, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$1.80May 18, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$2.40May 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$1.80May 18, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$2.40May 18, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$1.80May 18, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$2.83May 18, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$0.46May 18, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$1.33May 18, 01:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 06:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".