Present-Initialise
0x450e535925b35f9eaa11ed2e92272b8c19fd2b90
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$75.90
Total PnL
$-7.90
Realised
$0.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 88.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.98
$-0.12
- NO
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 96.8¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.33
$0.20
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
7 shares @ 85.9¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$6.02
$0.01
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.11
$0.09
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 95.7¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.53
$0.13
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
5 shares @ 93.8¢·now 95.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.35
$0.07
- NO
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.43
$0.23
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
3 shares @ 93.9¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.37
$0.09
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
3 shares @ 96.5¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.18
$-0.02
- NO
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 96.6¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill France win Eurovision 2026?$4.28May 18, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by June 30?$3.00May 15, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$3.06May 13, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?$3.38May 13, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $110 in April?$5.92May 13, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$6.08May 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?$6.05May 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?$221.39Apr 27, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?$221.09Apr 27, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?$644.50Apr 27, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?$100.00Apr 27, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?$1.04Apr 27, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?$3.00Apr 27, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?$1.04Apr 27, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?$9.48Apr 27, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?$9.46Apr 27, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?$9.77Apr 27, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?$10.35Apr 27, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?$10.34Apr 27, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?$9.05Apr 27, 09:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $37.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 09:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".