Roasted-Founding
0x45132d3fc07c611e45f031f22a2698237df35a38
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$139.17
Realised
$5.27
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?
472 shares @ 66.1¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$468.94
$157.34
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
519 shares @ 37.2¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$454.18
$260.85
- NO
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
430 shares @ 15.9¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$66.62
$-1.86
- NO
Will "Solo Leveling Season 2 -Arise from the Shadow-" win Best Continuing Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
82 shares @ 49.9¢·now 64.8¢·exp May 23, 2026$53.00
$12.20
- YES
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
275 shares @ 13.8¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$45.39
$7.40
- NO
Will "Solo Leveling Season 2 -Arise from the Shadow-" win Best Action Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
82 shares @ 38.5¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$45.28
$13.88
- YES
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
128 shares @ 38.6¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$31.38
$-18.09
- YES
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
80 shares @ 31.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$18.07
$-6.83
- NO
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
29 shares @ 42.5¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$16.48
$4.30
- YES
Will Charles Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
15 shares @ 67.8¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$14.17
$3.67
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$325.00May 16, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rob Adkerson be the Republican nominee for GA-11?$6.30May 15, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rob Adkerson be the Republican nominee for GA-11?$6.30May 15, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.28May 14, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$2.97May 14, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$3.20May 14, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$4.90May 13, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$3.76May 13, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$3.79May 13, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$20.53May 13, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$7.09May 12, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$3.54May 12, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ICEMAN be No.1 for 3 weeks?$1.98May 7, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ICEMAN be No.1 for 3 weeks?$1.98May 7, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ICEMAN be No.1 for 3 weeks?$1.87May 7, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$4.00Apr 26, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$4.00Apr 26, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$4.00Apr 26, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$4.00Apr 26, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$3.20Apr 26, 00:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 23:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 04:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".