Infamous-Leopard
0x451690c986b12b843db66b924ac61c27cb6cea0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$681.81
Total PnL
$-363.35
Realised
$-7.63
Win rate
36%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
282 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$282.00
$95.88
- NO
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
288 shares @ 19.4¢·now 56.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$161.71
$105.84
- NO
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?
94 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$94.00
$33.84
- NO
Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
83 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$83.00
$14.11
- NO
Will Titan launch a token by June 30, 2026?
26 shares @ 61.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$25.39
$9.50
- NO
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
11 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$11.00
$6.93
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
8 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.3¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$7.31
$0.19
- NO
Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
5 shares @ 14.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$4.95
$4.26
- YES
Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?
4 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.98
$0.76
- YES
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70%?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.00
$1.23
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$0.45Feb 8, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?$21.16Feb 8, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$7.22Feb 8, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$22.26Feb 8, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$26.88Feb 8, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$62.79Feb 8, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?$3.33Feb 8, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% in 2025?$5.00Jan 12, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Legen_Eth win the Defi App trading competition?$6.00Jan 12, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill diVine launch iOS app by December 31?$7.00Jan 12, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Daniel Baluta finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?$9.00Jan 12, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tulane make the College Football Playoff?$15.00Jan 12, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cătălin Drulă get between 10% and 15% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$21.00Jan 12, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEM5kt meteor strike in 2025?$21.88Jan 12, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMHCL Million Dollar Marathon: Alan Keating VPIP above 70%?$22.00Jan 12, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?$23.00Jan 12, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cătălin Drulă get at least 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$30.00Jan 12, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 106 billion views by December 31? $31.00Jan 11, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2025?$41.00Jan 11, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Opera" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?$41.00Jan 11, 20:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $72.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 02:15 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 20:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".