Weekly-Interval
0x4517cfff6b0273995ebe2f4fdc7e0ee2a8f30ed3
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
52
Open notional
$119.33
Total PnL
$-74.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
17 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$16.40
$0.25
- NO
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
14 shares @ 96.1¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$13.59
$0.28
- NO
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 95.6¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.56
$0.11
- NO
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$9.92
$0.21
- NO
Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
9 shares @ 95.4¢·now 97.4¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$9.06
$0.18
- NO
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
9 shares @ 95.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$8.98
$0.03
- KNICKS
76ers vs. Knicks
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$8.81
$-0.88
- YES
Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?
8 shares @ 37.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$6.23
$3.42
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
6 shares @ 95.3¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.97
$0.10
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
5 shares @ 95.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.22
$0.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$2.07May 16, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.60May 16, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons$5.00May 14, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill 1. FC Slovácko vs. FC Baník Ostrava end in a draw?$5.00May 12, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$1.94May 12, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 11?$5.00May 11, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$3.65May 11, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hayle Gibson-Stillwell win Barrel Racing at The American Rodeo 2026 Championship Weekend?$4.12May 11, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$2.03May 11, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGhazl El Mahalla SC leading at halftime?$2.04May 11, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sport Boys Association vs. Club Universitario de Deportes end in a draw?$3.63May 11, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 11?$0.78May 11, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 10?$5.00May 11, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs$2.65May 10, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Knicks$9.83May 10, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill SK Sigma Olomouc vs. Bohemians Praha 1905 end in a draw?$5.00May 10, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zweigen Kanazawa win on 2026-05-10?$5.88May 10, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zweigen Kanazawa win on 2026-05-10?$1.66May 10, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FC Slovácko vs. FC Baník Ostrava end in a draw?$3.68May 10, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 11?$0.72May 10, 06:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $3.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 09:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 15:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".