Confused-Break
0x4540b4e8b2f2fa01cde9fe274b2fa7b4cf8cfaa0
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$33.96
Total PnL
$-283.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- VALENCIA
Basket Zaragoza vs. Valencia
21 shares @ 50.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$10.91
$0.21
- VIRTUS BOLOGNA
Aquila Basket Trento vs. Virtus Bologna
19 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$9.30
$0.00
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
18 shares @ 42.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$9.00
$1.44
- LOKOMOTIV KUBAN
Lokomotiv Kuban vs. CSKA Moscow
19 shares @ 50.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$4.74
$-4.56
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
130 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.13
- NO
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?
111 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-13.36
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
72 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-36.54
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
71 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-36.20
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
65 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-33.33
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
63 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-32.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAquila Basket Trento vs. Virtus Bologna$9.44May 18, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLokomotiv Kuban vs. CSKA Moscow$9.30May 15, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs$7.69May 15, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMT20 Series Malaysia vs Indonesia: Malaysia vs Indonesia$20.10May 15, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMBosna Royal vs. Partizan$21.40May 15, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYCB Breogan Lugo vs. Basquet Girona$6.45May 14, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBasket Zaragoza vs. Valencia$10.86May 11, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBosna Royal vs. Partizan$0.05May 6, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBosna Royal vs. Partizan$10.65May 6, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Series Malaysia vs Indonesia: Malaysia vs Indonesia$10.05Apr 29, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlvark Tokyo vs. Shiga Lakestars$10.70Apr 25, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbidjan: Florent Bax vs Niels Visker$0.05Apr 22, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbidjan: Florent Bax vs Niels Visker$12.55Apr 22, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYAHL: Cleveland vs. Rochester Americans$0.05Apr 15, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYAHL: Cleveland vs. Rochester Americans$6.20Apr 15, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "April Fool" this week? (April 5)$32.40Apr 15, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "China" 5+ times during National Agriculture Day events?$32.80Apr 15, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEWE Baskets Oldenburg vs. Rostock Seawolves$6.20Apr 11, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?$0.86Apr 10, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWonju DB Promy vs. Seoul Thunders$9.45Apr 3, 02:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $16.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 17, 01:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".