Elastic-Primary
0x454eb47f75d726ff6f2320880f04d2e0b72462b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$60.7K
Total PnL
$-14.8K
Realised
$332.83
Win rate
100%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
20000 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$20.0K
$100.02
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
16000 shares @ 94.6¢·now 86.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$13.8K
$-1.3K
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
20000 shares @ 94.8¢·now 29.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.0K
$-13.0K
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?
5000 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.0K
$30.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
5000 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.0K
$135.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in April?
5000 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.0K
$35.00
- YES
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
5000 shares @ 18.3¢·now 93.7¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$4.7K
$3.8K
- NO
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
569 shares @ 83.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$532.21
$59.77
- NO
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
300 shares @ 88.8¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$250.22
$-15.75
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 32.0¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$243.50
$-76.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.54May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.53May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.53May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.54May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.54May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.54May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.54May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.51May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.51May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.52May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.54May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.59May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.60May 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.60May 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.00May 4, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.17May 4, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$1.13May 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.00May 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.33May 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.26Apr 30, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".