Worldly-Repayment
0x455976d7a35530b4b704ab14f15ed600d4fcf02b
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-95.74
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
1043 shares @ 64.7¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.0K
$349.43
- NO
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
1200 shares @ 61.8¢·now 55.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$664.80
$-76.80
- YES
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
10 shares @ 41.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$10.00
$5.83
- OPENAI
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
391 shares @ 32.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$6.84
$-118.28
- YES
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?
3 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$3.00
$1.56
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 51.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.54
$1.00
- YES
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.00
$0.58
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
1 shares @ 62.0¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.93
$0.31
- YES
Will "The Rip" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)
683 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-88.79
- NO
Will there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
629 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-371.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$371.11Apr 23, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?$188.14Apr 11, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?$182.62Apr 11, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?$531.96Apr 10, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?$301.41Apr 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$5.22Apr 9, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$69.60Apr 9, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?$154.56Apr 9, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$34.80Apr 8, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$40.02Apr 8, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$741.60Apr 8, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?$307.32Apr 8, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?$202.86Apr 8, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMSouthern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5$274.00Apr 3, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$686.00Apr 3, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$190.30Mar 31, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$164.68Mar 30, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$12.65Mar 30, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$213.30Mar 29, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$14.85Mar 29, 14:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $155.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 07:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 14:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".