Idle-Nicety
0x458258f45fe132105c451ad120c3534fcb6e7699
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$53.79
Total PnL
$-594.72
Realised
$6.20
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?
224 shares @ 39.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$40.32
$-47.04
- YES
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?
65 shares @ 19.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$11.05
$-1.30
- YES
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30 2026?
118 shares @ 36.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.42
$-40.06
- NO
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?
380 shares @ 81.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-308.18
- NO
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the announcement on December 22?
266 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-167.58
- YES
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
104 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-24.96
- YES
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the playoffs?
20 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?$92.22Apr 21, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?$25.42Apr 21, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?$14.11Feb 8, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?$1.00Jan 12, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?$2.00Jan 12, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?$8.79Jan 12, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?$29.00Jan 12, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill PEAK win Better With Friends at the 2025 Steam Awards?$99.00Jan 12, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$101.75Jan 11, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike Iran next?$7.39Jan 11, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike Iran next?$12.59Jan 11, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike Iran next?$74.16Jan 11, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$61.38Jan 11, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$35.64Jan 11, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$40.26Jan 11, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$64.68Jan 11, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$40.26Jan 11, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike Iran next?$1.32Jan 11, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$242.22Jan 11, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$154.86Jan 11, 15:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $74.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 21:39 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 08:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".