Idealistic-Child
0x4589b26507ac0d3c52fa46fb79f9716a72de12ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$487.30
Total PnL
$0.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3887 shares @ 11.5¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$441.19
$-5.83
- NO
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-17?
25 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$24.69
$4.69
- YES
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
348 shares @ 2.9¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.47
$1.47
- NO
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$9.95
$-0.05
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$458.89May 13, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.29May 13, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$10.02May 13, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Girona FC win on 2026-05-17?$20.11May 13, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Athletic Club win on 2025-12-06?$0.00May 13, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by February 28, 2026?$0.00May 13, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 8?$501.36May 13, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$489.00May 8, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 7?$488.93May 8, 10:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 8, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 7?$486.00May 7, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$485.79May 7, 10:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 5, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $295.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".