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0x458c5bfd9bff538f98216a67b156832e7486c504
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
191
Open notional
$10.8K
Total PnL
$5.95
Realised
$276.70
Win rate
79%
156 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 191- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
200 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$196.30
$-1.30
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 97.5¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$194.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
200 shares @ 97.3¢·now 96.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$193.71
$-0.90
- NO
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?
200 shares @ 97.7¢·now 96.7¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$193.31
$-2.10
- NO
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 96.3¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$193.00
$0.40
- NO
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?
200 shares @ 96.6¢·now 96.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$192.80
$-0.40
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
200 shares @ 96.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$191.11
$-2.30
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
199 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$184.78
$-0.29
- NO
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?
199 shares @ 93.8¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$183.35
$-3.59
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$177.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$49.40May 18, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$49.58May 18, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$49.60May 18, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?$49.65May 18, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$62.40May 18, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$37.85May 18, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?$49.70May 18, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$49.50May 18, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$19.08May 18, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$48.30May 18, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$15.00May 18, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out by June 30?$24.77May 18, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $110 in May?$2.01May 18, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?$16.74May 18, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$2.00May 18, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $130 in May?$9.90May 18, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $130 in May?$1.25May 18, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $130 in May?$1.66May 18, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?$49.64May 18, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?$49.08May 18, 08:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $33.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 06:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 156 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".