Plaintive-Rim
0x45a873e5c76d115445ba06ff827f10ae492fd8f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$170.32
Total PnL
$-935.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
144 shares @ 69.3¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$116.17
$16.17
- YES
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
888 shares @ 5.6¢·now 4.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$42.65
$-7.37
- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 41.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$11.50
$-29.50
- NO
Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?
1726 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-356.07
- YES
EU sanctions on Israel by December 31?
787 shares @ 38.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
580 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-182.40
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
89 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?
50 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?
40 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-15.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?$50.02Mar 8, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$82.40Mar 3, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$100.00Mar 1, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$100.00Mar 1, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?$92.93Feb 24, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?$29.00Feb 21, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?$159.68Feb 20, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?$30.00Feb 19, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?$18.02Feb 19, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?$1.18Feb 1, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?$2.96Feb 1, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?$2.37Feb 1, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?$1.16Feb 1, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?$14.51Jan 31, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?$1.03Jan 31, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?$5.80Jan 31, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?$31.80Jan 31, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?$37.06Jan 31, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$217.94Jan 27, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$2.48Jan 13, 23:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $54.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 19:06 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 20:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".