0x45b4f43f0ed28ee599b796297a4be68ce9c2e428
0x45b4f43f0ed28ee599b796297a4be68ce9c2e428
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1080 shares @ 28.4¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$340.15
$33.25
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
357 shares @ 27.7¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$246.43
$147.43
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3701 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$190.62
$-1.85
- GRANT DAWSON
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)
187 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$186.64
$72.79
- YES
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
925 shares @ 15.5¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$152.68
$9.13
- YES
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
526 shares @ 16.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.93
$15.78
- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
253 shares @ 37.9¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$89.95
$-6.06
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
229 shares @ 31.6¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.00
$-16.27
- YES
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
521 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$39.10
$-18.24
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
42800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-42.80
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?$108.89May 15, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$24.75May 15, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$99.00May 15, 11:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$197.94May 14, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$74.25May 13, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$98.99May 13, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$124.97May 13, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$9.89May 13, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$24.73May 13, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$9.89May 13, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$59.38May 12, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs$49.49May 12, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$108.89May 12, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$610.32May 10, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Lakers$191.56May 10, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$148.52May 9, 11:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $111.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 10:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".