Worse-Participation
0x45d367d15300e43ba877226615fa59ef37fa53dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$353.12
Total PnL
$-845.88
Realised
$15.61
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- MID-AMERICA CHRISTIAN EVANGELS
Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels
595 shares @ 12.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$297.50
$226.10
- NO
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
53 shares @ 96.9¢·now 96.9¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$51.36
$0.00
- NO
Ansem mindshare all time high by March 31?
2 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$2.00
$1.40
- NO
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
2 shares @ 94.9¢·now 57.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.14
$-0.74
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
4 shares @ 20.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.66
$-0.14
- YES
Will Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?
4 shares @ 11.4¢·now 7.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.30
$-0.16
- NO
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
1 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.16
$-0.02
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Rutte?
850 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-748.00
- NO
Will the announcers say "UFC History" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?
370 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-92.50
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?
315 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-72.45
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$97.68Apr 27, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$93.24Apr 11, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$30.54Apr 9, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$63.04Apr 9, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$27.93Apr 9, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$57.66Apr 9, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?$10.00Apr 8, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMStefon Diggs arrested by March 31?$75.00Apr 8, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Rutte?$264.88Apr 8, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Rutte?$246.40Apr 8, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Rutte?$236.72Apr 8, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels$71.40Apr 7, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-04-11?$328.60Mar 31, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBetmoar FDV above $100M one day after launch?$128.75Mar 31, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MFK Karviná win on 2026-04-11?$139.92Mar 31, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MFK Karviná win on 2026-04-11?$182.16Mar 31, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBetmoar FDV above $100M one day after launch?$28.75Mar 30, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-04-11?$333.90Mar 30, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBetmoar FDV above $100M one day after launch?$157.50Mar 30, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MFK Karviná win on 2026-04-11?$59.04Mar 30, 00:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $96.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 10:13 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".