Honored-Nail
0x45db413e2871ded889ff642d2744da000ddcf976
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
117
Open notional
$8.31
Total PnL
$-248.62
Realised
$20.39
Win rate
33%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 117- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 22?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.91
$-0.14
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 20?
17 shares @ 23.7¢·now 10.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.74
$-2.38
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 18?
26 shares @ 11.5¢·now 6.6¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.70
$-1.30
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 18?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 3.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 18?
5 shares @ 19.9¢·now 10.9¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.55
$-0.45
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 18?
45 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.34
$-15.11
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 19?
18 shares @ 6.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.31
$-0.78
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 19?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.18
$-0.85
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 19?
5 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.05
$-0.55
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 18?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.03
$-0.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 18?$1.00May 18, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 18?$0.39May 18, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 18?$0.61May 18, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 18?$1.00May 18, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 18?$1.07May 18, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 18?$0.00May 18, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 18?$0.99May 18, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 22?$1.08May 18, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 22?$1.08May 18, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 20?$3.60May 18, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 20?$3.70May 18, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 19?$5.71May 18, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 19?$6.50May 18, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 20?$0.35May 18, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 20?$1.05May 18, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 20?$1.05May 18, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 19?$1.00May 18, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on May 19?$1.09May 18, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 20?$1.05May 18, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 19?$6.00May 18, 02:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 14:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".