0x45dbbf0d3e327046ef534258406646e5505c1132
0x45dbbf0d3e327046ef534258406646e5505c1132
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$18.68
Total PnL
$-50.44
Realised
$-3.95
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.62
$1.12
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 30?
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$4.64
$1.39
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
77 shares @ 17.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.45
$-9.59
- YES
Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
226 shares @ 12.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$2.38
$-25.36
- TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays
1 shares @ 65.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$1.32
$0.45
- NO
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 69.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.27
$0.39
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
21 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.13
- NO
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
17 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- NEW YORK YANKEES
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners
14 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-7.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$6.66Apr 15, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$9.38Apr 12, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$0.69Apr 10, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$1.12Apr 10, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$0.29Apr 10, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$1.12Apr 10, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$1.12Apr 10, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$1.12Apr 10, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$1.12Apr 10, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$1.12Apr 10, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$1.12Apr 10, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$1.12Apr 10, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$1.12Apr 10, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$8.69Apr 10, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?$3.18Apr 5, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$3.62Apr 1, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners$7.66Mar 31, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$13.04Mar 31, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$20.12Mar 31, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 30?$3.28Mar 30, 11:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 19:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".