Alarming-Tinderbox
0x46084b812a2d0cbafa1cf1f8593314648179d049
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-41.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- MILWAUKEE BREWERS
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
2625 shares @ 38.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$1.0K
$26.25
- YES
Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 Masters tournament?
134726 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament?
111063 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?
83748 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.0K
- YES
Will Sam Stevens win the 2026 Masters tournament?
81185 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-324.01
- YES
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?
69595 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-19.0K
- YES
Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 Masters tournament?
61621 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-285.92
- YES
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
44074 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.8K
- YES
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament?
33013 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-989.03
- YES
Will Harris English win the 2026 Masters tournament?
27210 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-190.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 PGA Championship?$51.43May 13, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMSabres vs. Canadiens$20.0KMay 11, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Canadiens$10.9KMay 10, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)$1.0KMay 5, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMCanadiens vs. Lightning$17.3KMay 5, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Lightning$62.76May 3, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Lightning$0.69May 3, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Lightning$9.83May 3, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Lightning$1.42May 3, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Lightning$0.69May 3, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Lightning$2.6KMay 3, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Lightning$4.5KMay 3, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMDetroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox$9.8KApr 20, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox$4.4KApr 19, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees$420.00Apr 19, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees$420.00Apr 19, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees$3.8KApr 19, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?$8.7KApr 12, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1.2KApr 12, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1.1KApr 12, 00:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 21:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 18:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".