Vigilant-Parrot
0x4612d9f2720a6f4787704ac0d89764e05105d79b
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$3.4K
Total PnL
$-673.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1816 shares @ 28.1¢·now 25.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$460.35
$-49.65
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2243 shares @ 22.3¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$392.56
$-107.44
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
326 shares @ 92.1¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$310.96
$10.96
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
510 shares @ 49.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$283.16
$33.16
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1691 shares @ 11.8¢·now 13.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$235.08
$35.08
- NO
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$230.00
$130.00
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
233 shares @ 86.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$210.47
$10.47
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
588 shares @ 34.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$126.47
$-73.53
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
136 shares @ 73.7¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$109.30
$9.30
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
256 shares @ 39.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$108.97
$8.97
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.13May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 15, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 15?$0.00May 14, 02:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$102.16May 11, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$10.40May 11, 20:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 7, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$103.00May 6, 21:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 3, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $141.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 20:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".