Wrong-Preference
0x461773e82ca367d93efee90a79052e72d1f4c683
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$157.88
Total PnL
$51.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
107 shares @ 14.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$62.68
$47.68
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
90 shares @ 27.7¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$37.43
$12.43
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
34 shares @ 89.5¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$27.65
$-2.35
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
10 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$9.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Leinster win the 2026 United Rugby Championship Grand Final?
17 shares @ 90.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.25
$-6.75
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.94
$0.94
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Leinster win?$10.53May 17, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Munster win?$11.20May 17, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?$10.43May 16, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leinster win the 2026 United Rugby Championship Grand Final?$15.64May 16, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Connacht win?$10.75May 16, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Munster win?$10.03May 15, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leinster win?$10.01May 15, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Connacht win?$10.02May 15, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$0.00May 11, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$0.00May 11, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Munster win?$0.00May 11, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.00May 11, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$18.29May 11, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ospreys win?$11.96May 10, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$14.29May 10, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leinster win?$49.84May 10, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Munster win?$10.14May 9, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ospreys win?$10.05May 9, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$10.09May 9, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Astralis vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A$39.75May 2, 13:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $23.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 19:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 03:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".