True-Driver
0x461a3ead1174a0d46271fb635f0a373ac4c41a5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$134.79
Total PnL
$18.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
488 shares @ 7.1¢·now 10.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$51.20
$16.40
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
126 shares @ 15.9¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$23.01
$3.01
- NO
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
45 shares @ 44.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$20.68
$0.68
- YES
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
14 shares @ 73.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$11.30
$1.30
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$10.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$9.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
10 shares @ 40.2¢·now 45.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$4.48
$0.48
- NO
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
6 shares @ 49.2¢·now 45.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$2.74
$-0.26
- YES
Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?
12 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.31May 17, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.32May 17, 15:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$1.02May 5, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$2.05May 5, 12:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$1.04May 4, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$2.04May 4, 11:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $16.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 13:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".