Few-Basics
0x4686728ecaee7a8437e2603b079fa9f69cf1329e
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$189.22
Total PnL
$-468.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
109 shares @ 91.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$99.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
10 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.20
$0.20
- NO
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
10 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$10.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.92
$0.09
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
10 shares @ 82.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.75
$0.55
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
5 shares @ 95.7¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.09
$0.09
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
3 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$3.00May 4, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.01May 2, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Main Card)$1.00May 2, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1.01May 2, 10:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 1, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$1.00Apr 29, 03:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $184.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 01:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".