Sugary-Peen
0x469c7f793fa34a154f2d378b2397daa9eb65309b
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$13.3K
Total PnL
$817.72
Realised
$1.9K
Win rate
80%
84 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1562 shares @ 89.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$-23.62
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
1022 shares @ 2.6¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$705.39
$678.71
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3531 shares @ 17.5¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$587.96
$-28.85
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2297 shares @ 36.6¢·now 25.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$585.70
$-255.70
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
527 shares @ 8.8¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$445.07
$398.70
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
890 shares @ 39.8¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$396.27
$42.16
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1141 shares @ 33.2¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$360.11
$-18.98
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
413 shares @ 85.9¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$336.79
$-18.22
- NO
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
337 shares @ 95.2¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$316.01
$-4.44
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
353 shares @ 87.1¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$312.35
$5.06
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$0.60May 18, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$3.85May 18, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$9.13May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$7.67May 18, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$3.27May 18, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.61May 18, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.32May 18, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$5.19May 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.78May 18, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$0.19May 18, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?$0.29May 18, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.03May 18, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.00May 18, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.72May 18, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$3.51May 18, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.08May 18, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.26May 18, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.03May 18, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$0.03May 18, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.53May 18, 04:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 02:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 84 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".