Lumpy-Tear
0x469e2e5aae437336b41bf7ae991ca6896531e8b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$528.99
Total PnL
$4.95
Realised
$3.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
230 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$219.65
$1.15
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
128 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$126.27
$0.96
- NO
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?
114 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$111.95
$-0.77
- NO
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?
72 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$71.12
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$125.31May 6, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$218.50May 6, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $3B one day after launch?$47.62May 6, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$159.80May 2, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$68.67May 1, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $150M committed to the Printr public sale?$24.95Apr 30, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $150M committed to the Printr public sale?$34.93Apr 30, 09:44 UTC
- TRADESELLGensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch?$72.85Apr 29, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $150M committed to the Printr public sale?$58.83Apr 29, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLSpace FDV above $200M one day after launch?$3.61Apr 29, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$68.32Apr 22, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$156.40Apr 22, 08:22 UTC
- REWARD$0.67Apr 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$56.87Apr 17, 03:01 UTC
- REWARD$2.56Apr 17, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.24Apr 17, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.35Apr 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$95.65Apr 16, 23:48 UTC
- REWARD$1.14Apr 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$128.51Apr 15, 07:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $77.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 11:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 09:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".