Constant-Layer
0x46e29dcb9cd03b9f39bf5bf7759b07ea280ef8bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$26.8K
Total PnL
$288.08
Realised
$247.99
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
15000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 63.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.6K
$2.1K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
6000 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$6.0K
$30.01
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
15000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.4K
$-2.1K
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
3400 shares @ 90.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.2K
$105.01
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
3500 shares @ 62.1¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$117.51
- NO
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
200 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$184.99
$9.00
- YES
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
100 shares @ 88.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$88.99
$1.00
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
1500 shares @ 6.1¢·now 4.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$65.10
$-26.90
- NO
Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?
883 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$4.41
$-189.80
- YES
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?
2000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$51.00May 18, 02:08 UTC
- SPLITWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$15.0KMay 18, 01:15 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.04May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$30.44May 17, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$20.69May 17, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$7.33May 17, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$5.48May 17, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?$0.23May 17, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$44.00May 17, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$10.49May 17, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$12.75May 17, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$2.30May 17, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$12.92May 17, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?$0.09May 17, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)$1.5KMay 17, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m?$12.14May 17, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?$7.33May 17, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$9.05May 17, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$5.00May 17, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$59.94May 17, 03:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $63.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 02:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".