Fortunate-Hostel
0x46f0bc37a748a74983f0c2d40c4e343e29b7fe05
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-7.1K
Realised
$156.53
Win rate
40%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
5034 shares @ 11.3¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.1K
$510.78
- YES
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
1001 shares @ 61.1¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$775.50
$163.95
- YES
Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?
414 shares @ 55.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$208.99
$-18.62
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
920 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$161.00
$-4.60
- YES
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
300 shares @ 41.3¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$103.47
$-20.53
- NO
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
2 shares @ 17.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.52
$0.11
- YES
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 20–30 years in prison?
40582 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-336.14
- YES
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?
28114 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-898.92
- YES
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?
16478 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-54.23
- YES
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?
10728 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-32.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$169.67May 18, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)$375.66May 18, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLSan Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners$89.08May 18, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLSan Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners$1.22May 18, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)$200.65May 18, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners$205.31May 17, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLSan Francisco Giants vs. Athletics$107.88May 17, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Athletics$191.94May 17, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox$25.36May 17, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox$90.71May 17, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLSan Francisco Giants vs. Athletics$599.38May 17, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Athletics$364.32May 17, 02:00 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.69May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLKansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals$368.41May 16, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals$194.53May 16, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$191.36May 16, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: Lotte Giants vs. Doosan Bears$26.45May 16, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: Lotte Giants vs. Doosan Bears$1.16May 16, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: Lotte Giants vs. Doosan Bears$13.27May 16, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: Lotte Giants vs. Doosan Bears$102.50May 16, 11:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $99.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 09:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".